Friday, 2 September 2011

A Game Free of Refereeing Error? Wenger and Holloway Would Agree!

“Sh*t refs!, we always get sh*t refs!”. I’ve sat in the Holte singing that on many occasions over the last two seasons, furiously lambasting the referee for missing something I could plainly see from a hundred yards away. However, as some recent research has shown, we weren’t on the wrong end of many refereeing errors last season.
A piece of research commissioned by Tim Long, a broadcaster and journalist, for a radio documentary entitled Beyond the Goalline:Football’s Technology Debate shows that we weren’t too adversely affected poor decisions.
The research analysed 713 “significant” incidents over the 2010-2011 season, from the 380 Premiership games. The research looked at penalties, goal-line incidents and off-side goals. An adjusted Premiership table was produced showing the finishing positions if there had been no refereeing errors.  Villa would have actually finished 12th but with only one point less than we actually achieved last season.
Interestingly, two of the teams most affected were Arsenal and Blackpool. In the adjusted table Arsenal would have finished 2nd to Manchester United on 72 points instead of 4th with 68 points. That would have at least given them automatic Champions League qualification and several millions pounds more in prize money (for Wenger not to spend on players!)
Blackpool and Blues would have stayed up and Wigan and Wolves would have been relegated with West Ham. Stoke would have earned two more points, which would have seen them finish four places higher and receive £3 million more in prize money.
The point of the report wasn’t to be critical of referees. It is accepted that they do their best and make each decision in good faith. The point was to highlight that even a simple television replay can highlight most of the erroneous decisions and strengthens the argument for some sort of in-play evidence based referral system which could cut down on the errors.


The opposing argument that such as system would hold up play and slow down the game is also addressed. The number of incidents reviewed averages out at about 2 per game. Similar systems are already in place in rugby union, rugby league, tennis and cricket (and yes I appreciate the latter is slow anyway).
It looks like Villa didn’t do too badly out of referees last season, but it does open the debate. I know human error is part and parcel of the game. Over to you guys for your thoughts. Do we need further technology in football? Ask Wenger and Holloway, I wonder what they would tell you.

Friday, 26 August 2011

Good Enough? Martin Johnson thinks so.

Martin Johnson has now swung his World Cup axe and chopped off Riki Flutey’s head. I share in most people’s surprise in this as I expected him to make the squad. Here is my assessment of the squad Johnson thinks is good enough to win in New Zealand. If you like this article please re-tweet on Twitter or “Like” on Facebook to support. Please feel free to leave comments on either.

PROPS
Dan Cole – Highly rated in the scrum but needs to assert his physicality more in the loose. Warrants his place but competition is fierce for the front row spots.
Alex Corbisiero – Another very strong in the scrum. Will push Stevens, Cole and Sheridan hard for a starting place.
Andrew Sheridan – A man who’s name still sends a shiver down the spines of the Australian pack. Question marks over his fitness.
Matt Stevens – Served his drugs ban and appears to have come back even stronger. Cocaine clearly isn’t performance enhancing. First choice without a doubt and can play on either side of the scrum.
David Wilson – Who? Apologies to Bath fans. I can only assume we are taking 5 props as Sheridan may not last the tournament. I believe Wilson can play at loose or tight-head.
HOOKERS
Dylan Hartley – If he plays the way he did in the 6 Nations (particularly against the Welsh) he is nailed on for a starting place. Throwing has improved and he has an impressive work-rate. Perhaps we need to get Warren Gatland to wind him up before each game.
Lee Mears – Seems to have gone about his business quietly. Solid performer and I expect him to make an impact from the bench.
Steve Thompson – Any man who returns a half-a-million pound cheque in order to continue to play rugby gets my admiration. A key man in the squad on and off the pitch.
LOCKS
Louis Deacon – Solid player and strong in the lineout. Not quite powerful enough or mean enough for my liking but offers reliability.
Courtney Lawes – The “new” Martin Johnson? He has the potential. Great physicality and mobility for a man his size. Should be looking to assert himself as a mainstay of the England team.
Tom Palmer – Had an impressive 6 Nations championship. Has improved game by game. A strong candidate for a starting place.
Simon Shaw – Even at 38 the guy is still a quality player both in the tight and in the loose. This is not a sentimental pick by Johnson. Whichever club picks him up after the tournament (assuming he wants to carry on playing) will get an absolute bargain.
BACK ROW
Tom Croft – A hugely talented player who will be looking to re-discover the form he showed on the last Lions Tour. Fantastic work-rate and reading of the game. I’d put my money on him being quicker than Banahan too.
Nick Easter – I don’t understand what all the fuss is about. He is over-rated, slow and does not warrant his place either on talent or form. Picked on reputation, although where he got that from is a mystery to me. A player whose style is much more suited to the 80’s! Who would I take instead? Luke Narraway.
James Haskell – Playing in France has not done him any harm at all, however it remains to be seen how playing in Japan will develop him. A guy who should make much more of his speed and physicality than he does but one of the stand—out players from the 6 Nations. Watching a few DVD’s of Pierre Spies wouldn’t be a bad idea.
Lewis Moody – Another picked on reputation rather than form. Undoubtedly inspirational when playing and fully fit. But when was he last playing at 100%? I expect him to be rested for the Georgia, Romania and Scotland games.
Tom Wood – Very similar to Richard Hill in the fact he gets the hard work done without anybody really noticing. A relative novice at this level but developing rapidly. Expecting good things from him.

FULLBACKS & WINGS
Delon Armitage – His display against the Welsh at Twickenham will have put serious heat on Foden. Looks to be coming into some good form after his off-field indiscretions. Strong, quick, exciting runner and a decent tackler with the added bonus of being able to comfortably cover several positions. Worth a punt at outside centre?
Ben Foden – An all-round quality player. Superb strike runner and a constant attacking threat...when he is actually given the ball in space (Take note Flood!!). Another who could be considered for outside centre. Will be pushed hard by Armitage.
Chris Ashton – Has anyone actually attempted the try-scoring swallow dive? It’s bloody difficult!! The guy is a class finisher who is not content to just sit on his wing and wait for the ball, although with the centres inside him that’s not really a surprise. He will be closely watched by opposition defences in this tournament. I worry England are over-reliant on him to provide some creativity.
Mark Cueto – Nearing the end of his International career and seems to me to having been lacking a cutting edge for quite a while. I would have liked to have seen what Charlie Sharples could do or given James Simpson-Daniel an opportunity.
CENTRES
Matt Banahan – Included in the Centres section as it is the reason Johnson cited as having him in the squad. Equally as useless in either position in my opinion. If he scores the winning try in the final I still won’t change my view. Clear evidence of short-sightedness on Johnson’s part. Flutey is the better player, even with poor form, and should consider himself unlucky.
Shontayne Hape – Should have stuck to playing rugby league. No flair, no side-step, no pass, no ability to run a decent angle or ask questions of a defence. Not good enough. Better players  (Simpson-Daniel, Tait, Flutey etc) will be on their summer holidays wondering what they have to do to get in the England squad.
Mike Tindall – Should have retired....in 2003. Just because he is royalty doesn’t mean people aren’t allowed to tackle him! Should have gone on your honeymoon Mike! I wonder if he is now exempt from having to sing the National Anthem?
Manu Tuilagi – Trying to put my issues about his nationality aside, Tuilagi offers something none of the other England centres do....an attacking edge. I hope he gets the chance to show what he can do. Johnson should let him off the leash. I wonder if he knows the words to God Save the Queen?
FLY HALVES
Toby Flood – Decent in the 6 Nations and a reliable kicker but he seems to have lost the ability to control a game, put his backs into space or keep the scoreboard ticking over. Will only start the matches against the smaller nations as Wilkinson is rested.
Jonny Wilkinson – I don’t need to put much here. The guy is world class. Enough said.
SCRUM HALVES
Joe Simpson – With the injury to Danny Care, and Youngs only just coming back from injury Simpson has a good chance to stake a claim for the number 9 spot. Im sure he will get some game time. Be interested to see what he can offer.
Richard Wigglesworth – Another who will be pushing hard for the 9 shirt. The ability to cover at 10 if required cements his place in the squad. Perhaps lacks the zip and spark of the other two but offers a great service to his backs.
Ben Youngs – An undoubted talent and offers a great attacking option behind what should be a dominant pack. Will need to regain his match fitness and sharpness quickly in order to fight off the challenge from Simpson & Wigglesworth. If Care were fit I believe he would have been first choice ahead of Youngs.
We need an uninhibited performance so we can at least hit the world Cup with some optimisim. There is enough in the squad to cause the big boys some real problems, if used corerctly and allowed to play. It could  be better though. Bring on the Irish, I will be watching with interest.